Local Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political
Core
Producing point-in-time political research and forecasts for U.S. elections and assessing how political events affect market outcomes.
Role type
Senior political analyst (elections forecasting & political risk)
Builds
Point-in-time political reports, win probability assessments, and causal analysis of electoral dynamics for market impact.
Domain
U.S. Politics / Elections / Financial Markets
Deliverable
production ML models | product features | dashboards & analysis | research
Required skills
U.S. state-specific electoral expertise, polling literacy, probabilistic reasoning, causal event analysis, AI analysis review, point-in-time discipline, independent research execution
Preferred skills
National political forecasting experience, background in survey research or campaign analytics
Technologies
None explicitly stated
Responsibilities
Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts based strictly on evidence available at a specified cutoff date; Analyze current or upcoming U.S. Senate, gubernatorial, and statewide contests in states with local expertise; Assess polling data, electoral dynamics, win probabilities, and market-implied odds; Explain causal mechanisms linking political developments to market outcomes; Review AI-generated political analyses and grade their quality against professional standards; Maintain strict point-in-time discipline to avoid hindsight or data leakage
Seniority
Senior, hands-on IC